A new COVID-19 forecast predicts more than 400,000 deaths by the end of 2020. Will the fall wave really be that big?

Experts have long feared that colder weather and other factors could create a fall wave of the coronavirus with the potential to dwarf previous peaks — and America’s most prominent COVID-19 modelers are projecting just that. So is it time to freak out about the fall? Maybe not just yet.

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